Homeownership Remains Below 2006 Levels For All Age Groups Even In Texas

Homeownership rates for all age groups were lower in 2017 than in 2006, the year before the Great Recession…

By Derrick Moore

Homeownership rates for all age groups were lower in 2017 than in 2006, the year before the Great Recession (2007-2009), including Texas.

The homeownership rate among the largest group of homeowners — those age 65 and over — has returned to within about 2 percentage points of 2006 levels. However, householders under age 35 and 35-44 years old had 2017 rates about 7 and 10 percentage points lower than in 2006.

The figure below shows that despite the economic rebound since the Great Recession, annual homeownership rates in all age groups were lower in 2017 than in 2006. (See figure 1.)

While the overall homeownership rate fluctuates over time due to recessions, interest rates, home prices, student loan debts and other factors, the impact varies by age group. Those under age 35 are much less likely to own a home than those age 65 and older.

“Most Americans think that the ideal age people should marry is 25, but only about a quarter of adults have actually done so by that age,” said Census Bureau demographer Jonathan Vespa, author of “The Changing Economics and Demographics of Young Adulthood: 1975-2016”, issued in 2017. “Because marriage is closely tied with establishing their own household, young adults may be delaying homeownership to later ages as well.”

The Census Bureau also releases national homeownership rates for the Unites States on a quarterly basis. Since the first quarter 1995, the overall U.S. quarterly homeownership rate (see figure below) rose from 64.2 percent to 69.2 percent in the second and fourth quarters 2004, fell to 62.9 percent by the second quarter 2016, and came back to 64.2 percent in the fourth quarter 2017. For all the numbers, see Historical Table 19. See figure 2.

According to Census Bureau, homeownership percentages for Texas are lower than before the Great Recession from 2007-2009.

Texas hit its high point in the first quarter of 2005 with a total of 66.9% and the lowest in the first quarter 2015 (Table 1).

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According to the Census Bureau’s latest homeownership release, the second quarter 2018 homeownership rate was highest for those householders age 65 years and over (78.0 percent) and lowest for the age group under 35 years old (36.5 percent).

In addition to viewing homeownerships rates by age, the Census Bureau has stats by race and ethnicity, by family income, family status and by the United States and regions.

In 2005, the year before the Great Recession, Texas ranked 46 in the country for homeownership, at 66.1 percent. However, in the second quarter of 2018 Texas ranked 43 with 62.9 percent of the population owning a home.

Texas is ranked right along with other states with extremely high median home prices. California, Hawaii, New York and District of Columbia has some of the highest medial home values in the country, but all four rank have some of the lowest homeownership percentages.

Hawaii’s median home price is $795,000 while California is $600,000. The median home price for homes in New York is $385,000. In DC, the median home price is $568,600.

The U.S. median home price in June 2018 was listed $320,100; the Texas median home price fell to a six-month low below $229,000. The median price per square foot (ppsf), however, rose for the 13^th consecutive month to a record high $115.53.

So, even though Texas ranks low in homeownership, its median home price is lower than the other states who rank near it.
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